Energy Tomorrow Blog
Posted July 11, 2016
The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) annual energy conference is under way in Washington, D.C. Here are a few highlights from the first slate of speakers, which included John Holdren, assistant to the president for science and technology, and Gregory Goff, Tesoro Corporation president and CEO.
Holdren went first, saying that the driver of technology in the future will be finding solutions to what he called the energy/climate challenge:
“Without energy there is no economy, without climate there is no environment and without economy and environment there’s no well-being, there’s no civil society, there’s no personal or national security, there’s no economic growth."
Posted October 6, 2015
Last month we connected he lowest pre-Labor Day gasoline prices in more than a decade with the global cost of crude oil, the main factor in prices at the pump. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) attributed crude prices, in part, with growth in global supply – due in no small part to increases in U.S. oil production. Abbreviated: Thanks, U.S. energy revolution.
Now comes EIA’s Winter Fuels Outlook, with forecasts that household heating costs will be lower than the previous two winters. Thanks again, U.S. energy.
Posted August 21, 2015
America’s energy strategy, short-term and long-term, is the sum of inputs: resource and production data, policy goals, technology, market conditions and more. These underpin the national conversation about the energy future of the United States and prospects for energy security – today, tomorrow and down the road.
Using federal energy information data we’ve launched a new website, Our Energy Tomorrow. It’s an interactive web experience that allows visitors to explore a variety of energy futures, based on inputs they select – including resource availability, advances in technology and federal legislation. These in turn generate a number of useable, shareable charts, graphs and trend lines that illustrate the energy scenario chosen.
Posted July 1, 2015
This weekend our country celebrates 239 years of independence, as well as our collective belief in equality and unalienable rights – enumerated in the Declaration of Independence as “Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.” Heading into Independence Day 2015, it’s fitting to draw some connections between American energy and American life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Today: life.
It’s hard to imagine modern life – in America or anywhere else for that matter – without liberal access to energy. It’s fundamental to sustaining life as we know it, while also providing fundamental opportunity to people across the globe for whom life is a daily struggle. Let’s take a look at some charts from Max Roser’s Our World In Data project. First is global energy use, with energy use starting to grow slowly around the 1900 and then taking off after World War II.
Posted June 17, 2015
The Hill – A new Republican bill introduced Tuesday would completely repeal the federal mandate to blend ethanol into the nation’s gasoline supply.
Sen. Bill Cassidy’s (R-La.) legislation would completely do away with the renewable fuel standard, which first took effect in 2005 and now requires increasing levels of ethanol and biodiesel to be put into traditional fossil fuels.
The mandate invites frequent criticism from Republicans, the oil industry and sectors that complain the demand it creates for corn ethanol increases agricultural prices.
“Workers, refiners, producers, farmers and ranchers across the country are affected by the renewable fuel standard,” Cassidy said in a statement. “More mandates mean less jobs. It means families are paying more for gas and groceries.”
Posted April 11, 2014
Earlier this week the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) blew back a lot of folks’ hair with the high oil-production scenario in its 2014 Annual Energy Outlook – projecting for the first time ever that the net import share of U.S. petroleum and other liquids could reach zero. By 2037. That’s amazing considering that less than a decade ago the import share was nearly 60 percent.
Next from EIA: New data on growing U.S. crude oil and lease condensate reserves – more evidence of the ongoing U.S. energy revolution.
Posted April 7, 2014
Take a good look at the chart below – brand-new from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The green line disappearing into the horizontal axis between the years 2030 and 2040 is what U.S. energy self-sufficiency looks like.
This is a big, big deal – a goal of every U.S. president since Richard Nixon more than 40 years ago: the point where domestic production exceeds imports, which EIA never included in any of its projections. Until now.
Because of surging tight-oil production – oil from shale and other tight-rock formations, developed with advanced hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling – the agency is including in its 2014 Annual Energy Outlook a high-production scenario under which net imports would reach near-zero between 2030 and 2040.
Posted June 18, 2013
Great question during the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s annual energy conference this week – paraphrasing: Given the technologies, the innovation and risk-taking that mark today’s oil and natural gas industry, what‘s the ceiling for oil and gas development over the next few decades? The U.S. Geological Survey’s Donald Gautier took a crack at it:
“Every time I look at world oil or gas resources, I start adding things up, and I end up with enormous numbers. It just seems like an unavoidable fact, and the issue is about human activities and the contraptions they’re using for getting this out. There is certainly no shortage of molecules out there.”
Posted May 17, 2013
Increasing U.S. domestic production of oil matters. Energy Information Administration (EIA) chief Adam Sieminski had this analysis at an energy conference earlier this week (h/t Breaking Energy):
“There’s a fairly significant, long-standing relationship between spare production capacity in OPEC and what the pricing environment is for oil. So the 2 million barrel per day increase in U.S. oil production that surprisingly took place over the last five years has resulted in higher OPEC spare capacity, and undoubtedly, has been a factor in why Brent oil prices are $103-$104/bbl rather than $125-$130/bbl.”
Posted May 16, 2013
Breaking Energy – Sieminski: U.S. Tight Oil Growth Helping Lower Global Crude Price
U.S. tight oil production has helped to shave about $20-$25 per barrel from Brent crude oil prices, and continued output growth could further impact global pricing, says Energy Information Administration Administrator Adam Sieminski.
E! Science News – Groundwater Unaffected by Shale Gas Production in Arkansas
Duke University and U.S. Geological Survey scientists sampled 127 shallow drinking water wells in areas overlying Fayetteville Shale gas production in north-central Arkansas and found no ground water contamination from hydraulic fracturing.