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Energy Tomorrow Blog

U.S. Energy Exports and Geopolitical Transformation

us energy security  crude oil exports  lng exports  state department 

Mark Green

Mark Green
Posted March 21, 2019

Earlier this year we noted federal projections that U.S. liquefied natural gas export capacity would reach almost 9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2019, with exports averaging 5.1 Bcf/d. Add to that crude oil and other liquids, and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that the U.S. will export more energy than it imports by 2020 – for the first time since the 1950s.

The numbers take on even more significance as the context for U.S. energy leadership around the world. At the CERAWeek conference earlier this month, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo talked about the unique opportunity for U.S. energy to transform geopolitical realities and in the process make Americans safer.

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The Growing Good-News Story on U.S. Natural Gas

natural gas  lng exports  us energy security  trade  economic growth  iea 

Mark Green

Mark Green
Posted March 5, 2019

The International Energy Agency’s Fatih Birol regularly heralds the positive impacts of the American shale energy revolution (see here, here and here). All good, but U.S. shale’s global impact is just now starting to be felt, IEA’s executive director said last week.

During a global markets update at the U.S. Energy Department with Secretary Rick Perry, Birol said the United States will be responsible for about two-thirds of the growth in the global liquefied natural gas (LNG) export market. Of course, this reflects the abundance of domestic natural gas, largely produced from shale formations. Big-time global impact lies ahead, Birol said.  Add to that environmental and climate progress, which we’ll get to in a bit.

Certainly, there’s every reason to believe U.S. natural gas and oil can meet or exceed global expectations. Soaring U.S. crude oil production has increased global supply, supporting the stability of global markets – while reducing weekly U.S. crude imports to their lowest level in 23 years (as of Feb. 22), according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

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A Break in the LNG Exports Logjam

lng exports  us energy security  trade  ferc 

Mark Green

Mark Green
Posted February 22, 2019

A big win this week for U.S. liquid natural gas exports: The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s approval of the Calcasieu Pass liquid natural gas (LNG) export facility in Louisiana – marking an end to a two-year logjam on LNG export approvals while boosting American global energy leadership and signaling opportunity to European allies who’ve been beholden to Russia for natural gas.

The $4.5 billion Calcasieu Pass project near Cameron Parish will be able to export 10 million metric tons per annum of LNG per year. Venture Global first applied for FERC approval for the facility in 2015. About a dozen other proposed facilities await FERC approval. Now, perhaps, the end’s in sight. 

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The Collision Between U.S.-China Trade Policy and LNG Exports

liquid natural gas  lng exports  trade  china 

Dean Foreman

Dean Foreman
Posted January 14, 2019

The U.S. set new natural gas and oil production and export records in the fourth quarter of 2018, even as the administration's trade war with China continued to escalate. As 2018 trade figures have become clear, an emerging consequence was decreased U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) cargoes to China, which fell by around 20 percent from 2017, as these shipments became subject to a 10 percent Chinese import tariff effective Sept. 24.

Americans should care about the health of these U.S. natural gas exports because growing markets for domestic natural gas can generate economic growth at home by helping stimulate additional natural gas development, more than is needed to supply domestic demand; attract multi-billion-dollar U.S. investments in infrastructure – including pipelines, natural gas processing, LNG liquefaction, export facilities and shipping – and the high-quality jobs and wages that accompany these; and more.


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U.S. LNG Exports: Room to Grow

lng exports  liquefied natural gas  trade  economic growth  production 

Mark Green

Mark Green
Posted January 3, 2019

A new chapter in U.S. natural gas exports is unfolding before our very eyes – and with it, strengthened American energy influence abroad, increased trade and support for domestic natural gas production and jobs.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that 2019 will see U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity will reach nearly 9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) by year’s end, up from EIA’s 2018 estimate of 4.9 Bcf/d. The U.S. would rank third in the world behind Australia and Qatar. 

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Don’t Let U.S. LNG Exports Become Casualty of Tariff Policy

trade  lng exports  liquefied natural gas  china 

Mark Green

Mark Green
Posted August 8, 2018

A couple of observations on China’s announcement late last week that it may impose a 25 percent tariff on U.S. shipments of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to that country – which would be in retaliation for announced U.S. tariffs on certain Chinese goods coming into this country.

First, China was the third-largest importer of U.S. LNG in 2017, accounting for nearly 15 percent of our LNG exports, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).  As those numbers indicate, this exchange of tariffs could leave a mark as far as U.S. energy exports are concerned. ...

If U.S. energy exports are restricted – at the same time trade policies have been adopted that increase the cost of the steel our industry uses – there’s a risk of significantly affecting a sector that has been a driving force for economic growth. It’s a big price to pay. 

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New Study, Familiar Result: LNG Exports Benefit U.S.

lng exports  natural gas benefits  economic growth  trade 

Mark Green

Mark Green
Posted June 13, 2018

The U.S. Energy Department’s latest study on the economic impacts of exporting liquefied natural gas (LNG) reaches a by-now familiar top-line conclusion: Exporting U.S. LNG is good for the economy, and those benefits will outweigh domestic cost impacts.

We say familiar, because this is the fifth DOE study on LNG exports – and the fifth to describe broad, positive economic impacts for the United States from shipping natural gas to friends and allies overseas – which should end claims that LNG exports could harm American consumers.

Certainly, no one can say the issue hasn’t been thoroughly analyzed – not after five government studies and two commissioned by our industry (see here and here).

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The Growing Momentum of U.S. LNG Exports

natural gas  lng exports  us energy security  emission reductions 

Mark Green

Mark Green
Posted March 27, 2018

The U.S. Energy Information Administration reports that the U.S. has become a net natural gas exporter for the first time since 1957 and that exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) quadrupled in 2017 over 2016. Here's why these developments are important for the United States.

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U.S. Innovations Shift Global LNG Market

liquefied natural gas  lng exports  innovation  trade 

Dean Foreman

Dean Foreman
Posted March 12, 2018

Low U.S. natural gas prices have spurred liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and major petrochemical projects that have become a springboard for U.S. jobs, wages, housing, education and services – everything that comes with major new capital projects and their broad-based boost to the economy. An important corollary is that U.S. technological innovation is translating into innovative business practices that are helping to increase the global trade, volumes and liquidity of natural gas markets while also advancing environmental goals by reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the power sector. 

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Natural Gas Abundance Generates Export Opportunities

lng exports  natural gas  consumers  economic growth 

Dean Foreman

Dean Foreman
Posted February 28, 2018

In the first API Chart of the Month, we looked at historical U.S. trade in oil and natural gas. This month, let’s examine global liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices, which increasingly have helped to anchor U.S. natural gas production and reinvigorate local jobs, wages, housing, education and services – everything that comes with major new capital projects and their broad-based boost to the economy.

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